Runoff Variation and the Flood Hydrograph

Introduction

Runoff is the flow of water over or through the ground towards rivers and streams. Its rate and timing vary between drainage basins and individual storm events, depending on physical and human factors.

A flood hydrograph (also called a storm hydrograph) shows how a river’s discharge changes over time following a rainfall event.

Hydrographs help geographers understand how quickly precipitation is transferred to the river channel, which is vital for flood forecasting and management.

1. River Regimes vs Storm Hydrographs

River regimes show seasonal discharge changes, while storm hydrographs illustrate the immediate response of a drainage basin to rainfall.

TermDefinitionTimescale
River RegimeThe annual pattern of discharge in a river, showing seasonal variations over a year (e.g. high flow in winter, low in summer).Long-term (months to years)
Storm or Flood HydrographA short-term graph showing how river discharge responds to a single rainfall event or storm.Short-term (hours to days)

2. Components of a Flood Hydrograph

A flood hydrograph plots river discharge (m³/s) against time (hours or days) after a rainfall event. It usually includes two graphs: rainfall (bar chart) and discharge (line graph).

Flood hydrograph

Flood hydrograph

ComponentDefinition
Peak RainfallThe time of highest rainfall intensity.
Peak Discharge (Flood Peak)The maximum flow in the river after the rainfall event.
Lag TimeThe delay between peak rainfall and peak discharge — indicates how quickly water reaches the channel.
Rising LimbThe upward slope showing increasing discharge as rainfall enters the river.
Falling Limb (Recession Limb)The downward slope as surface runoff and throughflow decrease.
BaseflowThe normal river flow supplied by groundwater.
StormflowThe additional flow from precipitation reaching the channel as surface and subsurface flow.

3. Factors Influencing Runoff and Hydrograph Shape

Runoff response differs between drainage basins because of a combination of physical and human factors.

FactorInfluence on RunoffEffect on Hydrograph
Basin SizeSmall basins transfer water quickly; large basins respond more slowly.Small → short lag time; large → longer lag time.
Basin ShapeCircular basins concentrate flow; elongated basins spread runoff over time.Circular → flashy; elongated → subdued.
Relief (Gradient)Steep slopes increase surface runoff; gentle slopes encourage infiltration.Steep → flashy; gentle → subdued.
Soil TypeImpermeable soils (clay) reduce infiltration; permeable soils (sandy) absorb water.Clay → flashy; chalk → subdued.
Rock Type (Geology)Impermeable rocks promote surface flow; permeable rocks encourage groundwater flow.Impermeable → flashy; permeable → subdued.
VegetationDense vegetation intercepts and delays runoff.Forested → longer lag time.
Land UseUrbanisation creates impermeable surfaces and drains.Urban → short lag time, high peak.
Antecedent MoistureWet or frozen soils prevent infiltration.Saturated → flashy response.
Precipitation Intensity & DurationHeavy, prolonged rain increases surface runoff.Intense → steep rising limb.
TemperatureSnowmelt or frozen ground can increase runoff rates.Rapid melt → flashy.
Drainage DensityHigh density = fast runoff; low density = slower flow.High → short lag time.

4. Flashy vs Subdued Hydrographs

The shape of a river’s flood hydrograph reflects how quickly precipitation is transferred to the river channel.

A flashy hydrograph shows a rapid response to rainfall. Discharge rises steeply to a high peak before falling quickly.

A flashy hydrograph

A flashy hydrograph

A subdued hydrograph, by contrast, indicates a slow response. Discharge increases and declines gradually, with a lower peak and longer lag time. These differences are controlled by the physical characteristics of the drainage basin, weather conditions, and human influences such as land use.

A subdued hydrograph

A subdued hydrograph

Not all of the characteristics below will apply to each individual hydrograph. They are examples of the types of characteristics they may feature.
FactorFlashy HydrographSubdued Hydrograph
Lag TimeShortLong
Rising LimbSteepGentle
Peak DischargeHighLow
Falling LimbSteepGradual
Basin ShapeCircularElongated
ReliefSteepGentle
Soil/GeologyImpermeablePermeable
UrbanisationHighLow
Antecedent MoistureSaturated/frozenDry
Drainage DensityHighLow
Precipitation typeIntense rainfallLight, prolonged rainfall
VegetationSparse or clearedDense forest cover

5. Human Influences on Runoff and Hydrographs

Human activities modify natural processes and alter the shape of flood hydrographs.

Not all of the characteristics below will apply to each individual hydrograph. They are examples of the types of characteristics they may feature.
Human ActivityHydrological ImpactResulting Hydrograph Effect
UrbanisationIncreases impermeable surfaces; storm drains speed runoff.Steeper rising limb; shorter lag time.
DeforestationReduces interception and evapotranspiration.Increases surface runoff; flashier response.
AgricultureSoil compaction and drainage systems modify infiltration.Higher runoff rates, especially after rainfall.
River ManagementDams delay peak discharge; channelisation speeds flow downstream.Can reduce local flood peaks but transfer risk downstream.
Climate ChangeAlters rainfall intensity and snowmelt timing.Greater runoff variability; more frequent flash floods.

6. Case Study Examples

Boscastle, Cornwall (2004) – Flashy Hydrograph

  • Basin size: Very small catchment (~20 km²) on the River Valency.
  • Rainfall: Over 60 mm in two hours on 16 August 2004.
  • Physical factors: Steep slopes, impermeable slate geology, a narrow valley, and saturated ground from previous rainfall.
  • Human factors: Urbanised valley floor and limited infiltration due to roads and buildings.
  • Outcome: Discharge on the River Valency rose from 5 m³/s to 140 m³/s within 60 minutes, producing a lag time of less than one hour.
  • Hydrograph characteristics: Extremely flashy — very steep rising limb, short lag time, high peak discharge, and rapid fall in flow after the storm.

River Eden, Cumbria (Storm Desmond, 2015) – Subdued Hydrograph

  • Basin size: Large drainage basin (~2,400 km²).
  • Rainfall: Prolonged rainfall associated with Storm Desmond in December 2015 (over 300 mm in 48 hours in upland areas).
  • Physical factors: Mixed geology — permeable sandstone and limestone in lower catchment, impermeable volcanic rock in upper reaches.
  • Human factors: Urbanisation in Carlisle increased surface runoff; deforestation in the uplands reduced interception.
  • Outcome: Soils became saturated after weeks of heavy rainfall, producing very high river discharge.
  • Hydrograph characteristics: Subdued — long lag time, gradual rising limb, moderate peak discharge, and an extended falling limb as groundwater and throughflow sustained flow for several days.

7. Hydrographs and Water Balance

Flood hydrographs link directly to the drainage basin water balance:

  • During water surplus, saturated soils produce more surface runoffflashy response.
  • During water deficit, soils absorb rainfall → subdued hydrograph.
  • Seasonal water balance variation helps explain differences in hydrograph behaviour across the year.

8. Interpreting Hydrographs in the Exam

Key Skills

  • Identify and label lag time, rising limb, peak discharge, and baseflow.
  • Explain why hydrograph shape varies using physical and human factors.
  • Use specific examples (e.g. Boscastle 2004, River Eden 2015).
  • Apply systems language: link inputs (precipitation) → flows (runoff) → outputs (discharge).

Common Command Words

  • Describe: Identify key hydrograph features.
  • Explain: Link features to causal factors (e.g. geology, land use).
  • Compare: Contrast two hydrographs, using terminology such as flashy and subdued.

Summary

  • Runoff variation depends on basin characteristics, precipitation type, soil moisture, and human activity.
  • Flood hydrographs show the response of river discharge to rainfall.
  • Flashy hydrographs have short lag times and high peaks; subdued hydrographs have gentle slopes and longer delays.
  • Human modification (urbanisation, deforestation) can make hydrographs flashier and increase flood risk.
  • Hydrograph analysis supports flood prediction, management, and risk reduction.

Exam Tip

When answering hydrograph questions:

  • Label key features clearly (lag time, peak discharge, baseflow).
  • Use case study data (e.g. “River Valency discharge rose from 5 to 140 m³/s”).
  • Refer to both physical and human factors.
  • For 6–9 mark questions, compare two contrasting hydrographs and explain the reasons for differences.